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Commentary on NAIC’s Casualty Actuarial and Statistical Task Force White Paper – “Regulatory Review of Predictive Models”
Greg Frankowiak March 24, 2020 Posted in: Blog Posts, News, Predictive Analytics

While predictive analytics can provide significant benefits to insurance companies and customers, the rapid pace at which analytics is evolving and the relative complexity of some of the models used poses a significant challenge to state regulators who are charged with reviewing and approving such models. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) recognized this emerging issue and created the Casualty Actuarial and Statistical Task Force (CASTF), which has been charged with identifying best practices to guide state insurance departments in their review of predictive models for underlying rating plans. Over the course of the last year, the CASTF has released multiple drafts of the white paper “Regulatory Review of Predictive Models” for public comment. And comment the public has! Numerous letters have been submitted from trade associations, actuarial organizations, credit agencies, consumer groups and even insurance departments to provide their input on the lengthy white paper.

Commentary on Actuarial Standard of Practice No. 56 – “Modeling”
The Actuarial Standards Board (ASB) of the American Academy of Actuaries (AAA) recently announced the release of the new Actuarial Standard of Practice (ASOP) 56, entitled “Modeling.” This new standard will be applicable to actuaries governed by the AAA for modeling work performed on or after October 1, 2020.
Connecting the Dots of Insurance Fraud Using Graph Analytics
In The State of Insurance Fraud Technology (2019), the most recent report published by the Coalition Against Insurance Fraud (CAIF) and the SAS Institute, nearly 75% of survey participants experienced a rise in fraudulent claims in the past three years. This represents a disturbing 11% increase since 2014. The survey was based on 84 primarily property and casualty insurers. None of the participating insurers indicated that fraud had decreased significantly during the same time frame. As a consequence of the rise in fraudulent claims, insurers are moving away from traditional formulaic business rules and red flags for identifying fraud. Instead, insurers are enriching their data analytics arsenals to include more sophisticated tools, methods and means to investigate fraud.  
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September APEX:  Digging Into the Modeling Lifecycle
Multiple October 21, 2019 Posted in: Blog Posts, Apex Webinar, Predictive Analytics
On Pinnacle’s September 2019 APEX webinar, “Digging Into the Modeling Lifecycle,” we discussed the importance of understanding all of the steps involved in the modeling lifecycle—far beyond simple model construction. That includes understanding the business question, anticipating the potential constraints of implementation, and staying ahead of model usage from a change management perspective. Management of those issues are among the most critical contributors to the model’s best chance for success.
Work in SAS? Two SAS hacks I use every day (and you can too)!
Hannah Kaufmann October 09, 2019 Posted in: Blog Posts, Predictive Analytics
This past May I was able to attend the SAS Global Forum in Dallas, Texas. Like many in our industry, I work in SAS software every day. SAS is considered by some an industry standard data and analytics application. I was grateful to be able to attend the sessions in Dallas alongside thousands of other users, and learn so much more about SAS software tools and approaches.
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