FCAS, MAAA, CSPA
Principal and Consulting Actuary
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Roosevelt Mosley is a Principal and Consulting Actuary with Pinnacle Actuarial Resources, Inc. and has 22 years of property and casualty actuarial experience. His skill set includes predictive analytics applications for all insurance functions, ratemaking and product development, competitive analysis and litigation support. Roosevelt is a Fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (FCAS), a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries (MAAA) and holds the designation of Certified Specialist in Predictive Analytics (CSPA). He serves as the Vice President of Marketing and Communications for the CAS. In addition, he serves on the American Academy of Actuaries (AAA) Auto Issues Committee and the Price Optimization Task Force. He has also served as a member of the Board of Directors of the CAS, the Board of Directors of the International Association of Black Actuaries, and CAS and AAA Governance Task Forces.
February 2017 APEX Discussion Series
Using Predictive Analytics to Understand Your Claims Process
Authored by Linda K. Brobeck and Michael K. Chen and Roosevelt C. Mosley Jr..
November 17, 2016 APEX Discussion Series
Predictive Analytics: How Do You Choose From a Sea of Options?
Authored by Thomas R. Kolde and Roosevelt C. Mosley Jr..
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Pinnacle was approached by a major regional, predominantly commercial lines insurer to perform a holistic review of the insurer’s overall operations with an emphasis on determining the company’s personal lines strategy. The review included an historic analysis of industry profitability by line of insurance including various risk diversification scenarios. In addition, we performed a review of the company’s organizational structure with particular focus on the company’s marketing and distribution systems. Pinnacle’s recommendations provided a roadmap which would allow the company to grow more profitably, improve retentions, operate more efficiently and assure that the right personnel were in the right places within the organization.
Territory / Summit Analysis
The insurer had not reviewed or adjusted their territorial boundaries in several years; and their current territories were not based upon an analysis of their underlying loss experience.
Pinnacle began with an evaluation of available insurer and external industry data at the ZIP code level as well as their current and future policy processing capabilities. After all of the experience data was adjusted to a common base level, we used our Summit® software product to smooth the data to develop an initial adjusted pure premium by ZIP code to reflect both experience in a ZIP code and in neighboring ZIP codes. The number of additional neighboring ZIP codes used was dependent upon attaining a sufficient exposure level.
The smoothed data was then clustered using Summit® on both a contiguous and non-contiguous basis. The insurer needed to decide whether to maintain relatively contiguous definitions or use more granular and theoretically accurate non-contiguous definitions. Using statistical measures, we identified and graphed optimal definition sets. Non-contiguous definitions were selected by the client. To minimize the number of territories with a limited geographic area or only a few ZIP codes, some manual combination of “outlying” ZIP codes with territories (clusters) with similar adjusted pure premiums was performed.
Finally, we assisted the insurer in developing the necessary filing support material to gain approval. The new program is generating new business in areas of historical profitability but previously less than average competiveness.
Underwriting & Tiering Analysis
A single state auto insurance writer hired Pinnacle to address its current rating and tiering program. We removed unnecessary underwriting restrictions and more adequately priced risk classes, which allowed the insurer to experience significant, profitable growth.
When we began, the company’s existing tiering design was only based on a few factors, including ones that significantly overlapped with the rating plan. When combined with the underwriting rules, the design was punitive and limited writable business. Through predictive modeling, we helped design a new tiering structure and applied an underwriting scoring approach to eliminate rating plan overlap and remove the overly punitive parts of the plan.
At Pinnacle, we partner with you to explore whatever path it takes to find the answers you need.
October 21, 2018
SIR Annual Conference & Exhibit Fair
November 07, 2018
VCIA Denver Road Show